This morning's leaked news from state Democratic party insiders came as a surprise: Governor Beverly Perdue and Representative Brad Miller won't be seeking re-election.
Governor Perdue is only in her first term and while many have painted it as a failure, we can't help but wonder what it is we don't know that is leading to this decision. Public Policy Polling is citing an initially very high disapproval rating of 55%, "after a disastrous legislative session where she appeared weak and indecisive" in 2009. But PPP goes on to say that Perdue closed 2011 with higher overall approval, the result of an agressive fight against Republican education cuts.
So now we know Pat McCory will be the Republican Candidate, but the Democratic nominee remains anyone's guess. No one has McCory's name recognition outside of Erskine Bowles. PPP puts Democrats' chance at keeping the Governor seat at less than 50%.
Five time Congressman Brad Miller's reasons for not seeking re-election aren't so simple. New Republican drawn district lines put Miller and David Price in the same district. Allies and friends with Price, Miller has decided not to run again. Miller is beloved within Raleigh and is highly visible, but Price has what some say is a stronger following in Durham and Orange Counties. The two running against each other in a primary would have been a non-starter as Miller felt he had no chance against the stronger Price. Not only that, but he wouldn't have enjoyed it: "There would be no joy in this campaign."
This morning when asked if he would run for Governor, Miller said that he had no idea Perdue's announcement was coming. Miller also said he hasn't thought about running for governor.